All Episodes
Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – The Consensus Builder (4/27/26)
Of what value to investors is a Federal Reserve Board chair who is a consensus builder? Confluence Associate Market Strategist and Certified Business Economist Thomas Wash joins Ph...
The Confluence Mailbag – Dollar Dominance, Private Credit, and the Great Rotation (4/24/26)
In this month's Confluence Mailbag, Bill O'Grady and Mark Keller examine what Iran's shift to yuan-denominated oil transactions means for the dollar's reserve currency status and w...
Bi-Weekly Geopolitical Report – The War in Iran and the End of US Hegemony (4/20/2026)
The world has seen additional evidence this year that the United States is no longer the dominant power it once was. Confluence Chief Market Strategist Patrick Fearon-Hernandez joi...
Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – Wars, Price Shocks, and Inventories (4/17/26)
The war in Iran is an event that is likely to change for the long term the way corporations manage their supply inventories. Think high instead of just in time. Confluence Chief Ma...
Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – The Strategic Petroleum Reserve: A Primer (3/30/26)
As the Strait Of Hormuz remains closed due to the war with Iran, Western nations have only limited tools to try to keep the price of oil in check. One strategy is to release stored...
Bi-Weekly Geopolitical Report – From the Shah to the Strait: The US Gamble to Stabilize the Gulf (3/23/2026)
Investors have already experienced dramatic initial volatility, but it appears that the war in Iran may also have significant long-term impacts on the financial markets. Confluence...
The Confluence Mailbag – From Iran to AI: Making Sense of Today’s Markets (3/19/26)
Bill O’Grady and Mark Keller tackle some pressing market topics, opening with a nuanced look at how the conflict in Iran might unfold and what current market expectations may be ov...
Confluence of Ideas – The Case for Hard Assets: An Update for 2026 (3/17/26)
Now is a great time to revisit the Case for Hard Assets, an investment area that’s drawing considerable interest these days. Confluence Advisory Director of Market Strategy Bill O’...
Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – Are Long-Term Treasurys No Longer a Safe Haven? (3/16/26)
After the war with Iran began, the dollar recorded its largest weekly advance since November 2024. But another traditional favorite destination for investors seeking safety, long t...
Bi-Weekly Geopolitical Report – The Geopolitics of US Dollar Stablecoins (3/13/2026)
The increased supply of dollar-backed stablecoins has the potential for wide-ranging impacts, including support for the dollar and an infusion perhaps of demand for US Treasurys. I...
Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – The Dip That Didn’t Bounce (3/6/26)
Younger investors appear to have more influence on the stock market than they used to and there are signs that they are becoming more cautious. Confluence Associate Market Strategi...
Bi-Weekly Geopolitical Report – The Great Chinese Purge (2/27/2026)
The subject this week is China and how the purge of government officials going on inside that country might eventually impact investors. Confluence Chief Market Strategist Patrick ...
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